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“When Trump's odds climb, Republican stocks rally days later, a delay that hands traders a window the market hasn't caught up to yet.”
Source
Kai WuSource“Partisan Investing”00:00
“While only a short time period, we find a strong 77 to 88% correlation between increases in Trump’s election odds and subsequent Trump stock outperformance.”
Performance
Entry$34.39
Current$8.56
Since call-75.11%
Confidence72%
How this was scored
Entry$34.39Oct 23, 2024 · 12:00 UTC · paste.trade
Resolution$8.54Jul 4, 2026 · 01:56 UTC · resolve-claims-cron
Horizonevent-drivenparsed as default-30d
Verdict bandWIN ≥ +2% · LOSS ≤ −2%
ResolvedJul 4, 2026 · 01:56 UTC
Prices are point-in-time snapshots from the named provider. The verdict compares the return since entry against the band above.