Back
“The war oil spike was a head fake, with the US and G7 able to flip a switch and reopen shipping, the price crashes right back down.”
Source
Jonah Van BourgYouTube“Everything You Need to Know About Oil”20:11
“to be fair, I did think that oil futures are a fade, but I'm also aware that the negative convexity of that trade is so extreme that I could get financially wiped out trying to make 20% on my dollar. So I didn't do that”
Performance
Entry$83.45
Current—
Since call— pending
Confidence72%
How this was scored
Entry$83.45Mar 10, 2026 · 18:31 UTC · paste.trade
Horizoncurrent war episodeparsed as default-30d
Verdict bandWIN ≥ +2% · LOSS ≤ −2%
Prices are point-in-time snapshots from the named provider. The verdict compares the return since entry against the band above.