TLT/long
Polymarket's 71% Fed hike probability for 2026 is overpriced; as odds deflate, Treasury yields fall and long bonds rally.
seems too high
Peak+0.2%
RJC called Polymarket's 71% Fed rate hike probability for 2026 "too high" — routed as a long TLT trade expressing the view that hike odds will deflate and long-end Treasury bonds will rally.
originalseems too high