
*Speakerguest
Lawrence McDonald
@Convertbond / appears on master-investor, master-investor, master-investor, master-investor
calls3traced speaker calls
avg P&L+10.3%per call
win rate67%resolved calls
total P&L+30.9%expert engine
Verified record
win rate67%2W · 1L
resolved3settled on TRACE
scored calls3published & scoreable
Speaker record
SpaceX's mega-IPO drains liquidity from an already tech-bloated market, raising odds of a serious hit
It's a colossal sucking sound of liquidity out of the market because there's only so much capital in the bond market and in the stock market. And when you have this kind of aggression of dumping of shares at very high valuations, the probability that this creates kind of a crash, not like it, not an '87, but a serious hit to the market is very high, very high.
▲+1.56%open horizon
Passive flows stuff cap-weighted indices with late, pricey mega-caps; equal-weight escapes the concentration drag.
we're destroying the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ because over time, what we're doing is we're putting companies in later and later and later at higher and higher valuations. And it's going to well, investors are going to pay the price over the next 10 years
▲+4.09%open horizon
Meta and Oracle free cash flow collapses as Mag 7 funds SpaceX's space data-center buildout
companies like Meta are going from $80 billion of free cash flow to almost negative or Oracle going from $50 billion of cash flow to negative 20, free cash flow to negative 20.
Agent-readable speaker
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"handle": "Convertbond",
"name": "Lawrence McDonald",
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}◆AISO Market Calls classifies public statements from public sources. A classification such as long thesis, short thesis, or explicit call describes the content of the public statement and does not prove that the speaker actually entered, exited, or held a position. Market performance shown is calculated from public market data around the source publication or timestamp. It is not investment advice.