Back
“The Fed is holding the economy back, sitting a full point above where rates should be, and inflation scares are overstated, so rates need to come down to neutral this year.”
Source
Forward GuidanceYouTube“Fed Governor Miran on Why Inflation Fears Are Ov…”2:12
“a lot of the inflation excess over target has been a result of some quirks of measurement of things like portfolio management services, which is basically just the stock market going up, biasing the way we measure inflation up by 30 to 40 basis points.”
Performance
Entry$95.44
Current$94.12
Since call-1.38%
Confidence72%
How this was scored
Entry$95.44Apr 1, 2026 · 07:00 UTC · paste.trade
Resolution$94.14Jul 3, 2026 · 14:56 UTC · resolve-claims-cron
Horizonover the course of this yearparsed as default-30d
Verdict bandWIN ≥ +2% · LOSS ≤ −2%
ResolvedJul 3, 2026 · 14:56 UTC