@jvisserlabs / appears on jordi-visser, jordi-visser, jordi-visser, tweets, tweets, tweets, tweets, tweets, tweets, tweets, tweets
2x Levered SK Hynix. Capitulation signs showing up. Record margin debt less than a month ago at the highs followed by liquidated margin accounts on highest daily volume back to back days this week with massive 30 minute volume at the lows before the intraday rally.
Margin debt hits record as retail investors pile into Samsung Electronics, SK hynix
Nvidia peaked on May 14th, 3 weeks before the AI infrastructure trade peaked... Today is set to close above the 20 moving average for the first time since June 2nd. Holding the 200-day and with a MACD buy signal at the lowest valuation in a decade. That is one of the 10 names.
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}AISO Market Calls classifies public statements from public sources. A classification such as long thesis, short thesis, or explicit call describes the content of the public statement and does not prove that the speaker actually entered, exited, or held a position. Market performance shown is calculated from public market data around the source publication or timestamp. It is not investment advice.
Memory chips go from cheap commodity to the scarce bottleneck as inference spreads to phones, PCs and cars, with DRAM supply needing to double and one maker capturing the lion's share of earnings upgrades.
Doge is retail energy. That's what I care about. I want to see it get above the 200-day as well. We're way below. We didn't even get above the 20-day yet.
Once we got to consumer agents, the next phase was that the financial guardrails would change and it would be one of the most important things in the history of the world... This is all ending. It's all changing. It's all morphing. And there is money to be made on this and lost.
If you believe that the demand is going to stay at a very high level and prices are going to stay at a high level for the next 3 years, this is way too cheap and argues for a much higher PE than is normally there... They've already built in a bearish outcome in terms of multiples.
I started talking about the fact that I was getting out of Micron in the middle of May... My goal was to be in a position where I'm probably going to be buying some back at some point soon, especially after the SK Hynix deal that went through today.
We saw massive inflow in the SOXX, and SK Hynix today offering more than 7 times oversubscribed. It also traded up.
This is Apple stock price as we got to all-time highs... That there is when they did their AI Siri announcement. It made an all-time high, it sold off. That was a sell the news event.
I make the argument that if they did end up selling any of their CapEx capacity, it would be because they can't get their consumer agents working the way they want. Yet. It's coming, guys.
He's been all over trying to argue that you want to own your own stuff before Anthropic and OpenAI steal it. Obviously, he's talking his own book. It's still a name in my 100-name portfolio. I still own it myself too.
I think it is critical as we come into what I think is the only month that the Fed would really raise rates.
semis became deeply oversold, and the narrative turned bearish just as the underlying demand story kept strengthening
Why memory, bandwidth, power and compute remain scarce
Why Scott Bessent told you Bitcoin, stablecoins and agentic commerce are becoming part of the same AI macro story
Today it is set to close above the 20 day mvg avg for the first time since June 2nd, holding the 200 day and with a MACD buy signal at the lowest valuation in a decade.
NVDA peaked on May 14th, three weeks before the AI infrastructure trade peaked and more than a month before SMH and the memory names peaked.
So far, this is actually the lowest weekly move since the AI decline began in early June.
as I've said since the day that I got out of my Micron and said, hey, I just don't think these things can continue.
We get an unwind the other direction, I think it's good for gold, good for silver, good for Bitcoin.
if people are right and the Fed's gonna hike— I don't think that's gonna happen— but if we get 3 hikes, I don't think you want to be near gold, I don't think you want to be near silver, and I don't think you want to be near Bitcoin.
But I've moved into Eli Lilly. I've moved into a bunch of silver and Bitcoin names.
If you're listening to anyone saying that the market is a bubble or that a correction is coming, equal weight S&P is breaking out and is strong despite all the volatility.
I don't think the Fed is going to raise rates. So if that message is going to be delivered somehow, or if the market is now positioned for it, which is what we're seeing because we've got crowded positions in all of those trades the opposite way now, meaning they're all playing for the Fed to hike rates.
So the KIX, the KIX, the insurance ETF or index— yeah... regardless, we're breaking out here on the insurance side after a long consolidation.
KRE Regional Banks. I think you're going to have a lot of consolidation with inside the regional banks. I think they're going to be buying up the smaller banks.
If GDP around the globe is improving, as we're seeing with estimate revisions, you should start seeing the financials be part of the bull market. They were lagging this entire year, especially in the US, on the back of the Blue Owl situation.
Now all of a sudden they have excess capacity? I mean, it's really stupid to, to, to leap to that side and not see that maybe it's because their company's under pressure because the stock is acting so badly.
this is the volatility of that Mo Tech, Morgan Stanley Mo Tech. I mean, this is 5% a day. This is higher than the dot-com bubble.
in my opinion, this does create a potential issue for the slowing down of the ARR for Anthropic. I believe that is a possibility. Now remember, they have been a 10xer in terms of the revenue.
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